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Wednesday · May 6 ✦

RED SOX @ TIGERS

Comerica Park.

Final

RED SOX 4
Tigers 0

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–0 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 73% 27% 4–2 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Detroit Tigers 41% 59% — ✗
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 62% 38% — ✓
Consensus Boston Red Sox 52% 48% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games