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Monday · May 4 · 6:10 PM ✦

RED SOX @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 18 mph r to l

Final

RED SOX 5
Tigers 4

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 5–4 Red Sox

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 69% 31% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Detroit Tigers 47% 53%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 61% 39%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 58% 42% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–12

73% across 44 games

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games