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Monday · May 4 · 6:10 PM ✦

RED SOX @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 18 mph r to l

Final

RED SOX 5
Tigers 4

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 5–4 Red Sox

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 65% 35% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 69% 31% 4–2 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Detroit Tigers 47% 53% — ✗
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 61% 39% — ✓
Consensus Boston Red Sox 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games