Back to the recap

Sunday · May 3 · 7:20 pm ✦

RANGERS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 57 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 19 mph out to lf

Final

Rangers 1
TIGERS 7

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 1–7 Tigers

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 71% 29% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 65% 35% 4–2
Logistic Detroit Tigers 47% 53%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 66% 34%
Consensus Texas Rangers 58% 42% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

28–16

64% across 44 games

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games