Back to the recap

Thursday · April 23 · 1:10 PM ✦

BREWERS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 73 degrees, sunny, wind 7 mph in from rf

Final

Brewers 4
TIGERS 5

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–5 Tigers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 2–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 50% 50%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 38% 62%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 46% 54% 3–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

27–17

61% across 44 games

Tigers this season

32–13

71% across 45 games