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Thursday · April 16 · 2:15 PM ✦

ROYALS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 67 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

Royals 9
TIGERS 10

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 9–10 Tigers

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 50% 50%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 30% 70%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 43% 57% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games

Tigers this season

32–13

71% across 45 games