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Wednesday · April 15 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 65 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph r to l

Final

Royals 1
TIGERS 2

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 1–2 Tigers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 53% 47%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 28% 72%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 46% 54% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games

Tigers this season

32–13

71% across 45 games