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Sunday · April 12 · 1:40 pm ✦

MARLINS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 55 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph in from rf

Final

Marlins 2
TIGERS 8

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–8 Tigers

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 47% 53%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 32% 68%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 43% 57% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

29–19

60% across 48 games

Tigers this season

32–13

71% across 45 games