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Saturday · April 11 · 1:11 PM ✦

MARLINS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 52 degrees, sunny, wind 5 mph in from lf

Final

Marlins 1
TIGERS 6

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 1–6 Tigers

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 49% 51%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 27% 73%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 41% 59% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

29–19

60% across 48 games

Tigers this season

32–13

71% across 45 games