← Back to the recap

Tuesday · September 1 · 6:40 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf

Final

Orioles 2
ROCKIES 4

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 2–4 Rockies

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Colorado Rockies 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 69% 31% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 48% 52% — ✓
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games