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Monday · August 31 · 6:40 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 82 degrees, overcast, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

ORIOLES 2
Rockies 1

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 2–1 Orioles

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 60% 40% 5–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 61% 39% — ✓
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 50% 50% 4–4 ✓
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games