← Back to the recap

Saturday · August 22 · 6:10 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to rf

Final

GUARDIANS 4
Rockies 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 4–3 Guardians

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 59% 41% — ✓
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 54% 46% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games