← Back to the recap

Friday · August 21 · 6:40 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 93 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from cf

Final

GUARDIANS 9
Rockies 1

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 9–1 Guardians

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 47% 53% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 56% 44% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% 5–3 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 54% 46% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games