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Friday · July 31 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

Royals 1
ROCKIES 3

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 1–3 Rockies

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 59% 41% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 50% 50% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 52% 48% 3–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games