Back to the recap

Friday · July 31 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

Royals 1
ROCKIES 3

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 1–3 Rockies

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 59% 41%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 50% 50%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 52% 48% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games

Rockies this season

73–48

60% across 121 games