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Monday · July 20 · 6:40 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 97 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

NATIONALS 7
Rockies 3

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 7–3 Nationals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 65% 35% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Colorado Rockies 37% 63% — ✗
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 29% 71% — ✗
Consensus Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games