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Friday · July 17 · 6:40 pm ✦

REDS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 93 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l

Final

REDS 7
Rockies 2

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 7–2 Reds

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Colorado Rockies 38% 62% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Colorado Rockies 40% 60% 2–4
Logistic Colorado Rockies 44% 56%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 56% 44%
Consensus Colorado Rockies 43% 57% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

65–59

52% across 124 games

Rockies this season

74–48

61% across 122 games