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Tuesday · June 30 ✦

MARLINS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field.

Final

MARLINS 14
Rockies 3

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 14–3 Marlins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 55% 45% 5–4
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 67% 33% 5–3
Logistic Colorado Rockies 34% 66%
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 44% 56%
Consensus Colorado Rockies 48% 52% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

45–40

53% across 85 games

Rockies this season

54–31

64% across 85 games