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Tuesday · June 30 ✦

MARLINS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field.

Final

MARLINS 14
Rockies 3

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 14–3 Marlins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 55% 45% 5–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 36% 64% 3–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 67% 33% 5–3 ✓
Logistic Colorado Rockies 34% 66% — ✗
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 44% 56% — ✗
Consensus Colorado Rockies 48% 52% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games