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Tuesday · June 23 · 6:40 pm ✦

RED SOX @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

RED SOX 5
Rockies 2

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 5–2 Red Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 60% 40% 5–3
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 5–4
Logistic Boston Red Sox 51% 49%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 59% 41%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games

Rockies this season

55–31

64% across 86 games