← Back to the recap

Saturday · June 20 · 7:10 pm ✦

PIRATES @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph in from lf

Final

Pirates 1
ROCKIES 2

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 1–2 Rockies

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 67% 33% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 36% 64% 3–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Colorado Rockies 35% 65% 3–5 ✓
Logistic Colorado Rockies 45% 55% — ✓
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 28% 72% — ✓
Consensus Colorado Rockies 43% 57% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games