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Monday · June 22 · 6:40 pm ✦

RED SOX @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

Red Sox 2
ROCKIES 3

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 2–3 Rockies

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 35% 65% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 33% 67% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Boston Red Sox 56% 44% — ✗
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 48% 52% — ✓
Consensus Colorado Rockies 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games