← Back to the recap

Wednesday · May 20 · 1:10 PM ✦

RANGERS @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 55 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph in from lf

Final

RANGERS 5
Rockies 4

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 5–4 Rangers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 56% 44% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 33% 67% 2–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Texas Rangers 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Texas Rangers 56% 44% — ✓
Consensus Colorado Rockies 48% 52% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games