← Back to the recap

Sunday · May 3 · 1:10 PM ✦

BRAVES @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 73 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

BRAVES 11
Rockies 6

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 11–6 Braves

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 56% 44% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 51% 49% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Colorado Rockies 43% 57% — ✗
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus Colorado Rockies 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games