Back to the recap

Friday · May 1 · 6:40 pm ✦

BRAVES @ ROCKIES

Coors Field. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from cf

Final

BRAVES 8
Rockies 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 8–6 Braves

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Rockies Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 56% 44% 5–4
Logistic Colorado Rockies 36% 64%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 60% 40%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

25–21

54% across 46 games

Rockies this season

30–15

67% across 45 games