← Back to the recap

Friday · September 18 · 7:10 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 69 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph in from rf

Final

Athletics 3
GUARDIANS 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–5 Guardians

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 35% 65% 2–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 20% 80% 2–4 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest Athletics 58% 42% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 41% 59% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games