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Friday · September 4 ✦

TIGERS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

Tigers 3
GUARDIANS 4

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–4 Guardians

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 47% 51% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 4–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 31% 69% — ✓
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 35% 65% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 4–4 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games