← Back to the recap

Thursday · September 3 · 1:11 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph l to r

Final

BLUE JAYS 6
Guardians 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 6–3 Blue Jays

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 40% 60% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% — ✗
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 64% 36% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games