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Tuesday · September 1 · 6:40 pm ✦

BLUE JAYS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Blue Jays 1
GUARDIANS 6

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 1–6 Guardians

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 67% 33% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 41% 59% — ✓
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 32% 68% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games