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Saturday · August 29 · 4:10 PM ✦

ROYALS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

ROYALS 8
Guardians 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 8–3 Royals

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 43% 57% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 54% 46% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 46% 54% 3–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games