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Sunday · August 16 · 1:40 pm ✦

PADRES @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 81 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

PADRES 5
Guardians 0

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 5–0 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Guardians Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 36% 64% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 46% 54%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 34% 66%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 46% 54% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

75–46

62% across 121 games

Guardians this season

60–62

49% across 122 games