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Friday · August 14 · 7:10 pm ✦

PADRES @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

PADRES 7
Guardians 5

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 7–5 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Guardians Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 64% 36% 3–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 40% 60%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 45% 55%
Consensus San Diego Padres 52% 48% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

76–46

62% across 122 games

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games