Saturday · August 15 · 7:10 pm ✦
PADRES @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r
Final
Padres
1
GUARDIANS
6
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 1–6 Guardians
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
75–46
62% across 121 games
Guardians this season
60–62
49% across 122 games