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Thursday · August 6 ✦

METS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

METS 13
Guardians 6

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 13–6 Mets

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 36% 64% 3–5
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 32% 68%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 44% 56%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games