Back to the recap

Wednesday · August 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

METS 6
Guardians 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 6–5 Mets

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Guardians Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 51% 49% 4–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 47% 53%
Random Forest New York Mets 52% 48%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games