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Wednesday · August 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

METS 6
Guardians 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 6–5 Mets

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Guardians Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% — ✗
Random Forest New York Mets 52% 48% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games