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Tuesday · August 4 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph in from cf

Final

METS 6
Guardians 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 6–2 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 38% 62% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 49% 51%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 43% 57%
Consensus New York Mets 50% 50% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games