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Saturday · August 1 · 7:15 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph r to l

Final

D-BACKS 12
Guardians 8

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 12–8 D-backs

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 33% 67% 2–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 52% 48%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 42% 58%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 46% 54% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games