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Thursday · July 23 · 1:10 PM ✦

TWINS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 72 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph in from cf

Final

TWINS 3
Guardians 1

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–1 Twins

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 3–4
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 47% 53%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 44% 56%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 50% 50% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

64–59

52% across 123 games

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games