Friday · July 31 · 7:10 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph in from cf
Final
D-BACKS
4
Guardians
1
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 4–1 D-backs
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games