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Friday · July 31 · 7:10 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph in from cf

Final

D-BACKS 4
Guardians 1

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 4–1 D-backs

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 54% 46%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 38% 62%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games