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Wednesday · July 22 · 6:40 pm ✦

TWINS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 69 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

TWINS 10
Guardians 6

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 10–6 Twins

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 52% 48% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games