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Tuesday · July 21 · 6:40 pm ✦

TWINS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph l to r

Final

Twins 2
GUARDIANS 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 2–5 Guardians

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 5–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 2–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 47% 53%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 48% 52%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

65–59

52% across 124 games

Guardians this season

62–62

50% across 124 games