Monday · July 20 · 6:40 pm ✦
TWINS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from cf
Final
Twins
4
GUARDIANS
13
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 4–13 Guardians
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
65–59
52% across 124 games
Guardians this season
62–62
50% across 124 games