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Sunday · July 19 ✦

PIRATES @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

PIRATES 7
Guardians 1

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 5–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 7–1 Pirates

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 71% 29% 5–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 65% 35% 5–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 73% 27% 5–2
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 45% 55%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 60% 40%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 62% 38% 5–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

69–56

55% across 125 games

Guardians this season

62–62

50% across 124 games