Back to the recap

Saturday · July 18 ✦

PIRATES @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

Pirates 3
GUARDIANS 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–5 Guardians

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 40% 60%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 47% 53%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 48% 52% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

69–56

55% across 125 games

Guardians this season

62–62

50% across 124 games