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Saturday · July 18 ✦

PIRATES @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

Pirates 3
GUARDIANS 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–5 Guardians

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 40% 60% — ✓
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 48% 52% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games