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Saturday · July 4 · 7:10 pm ✦

WHITE SOX @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from lf

Final

WHITE SOX 3
Guardians 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 3–1 White Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 64% 36% 4–2
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 42% 58%
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 63% 37%
Consensus Chicago White Sox 52% 48% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

43–41

51% across 84 games

Guardians this season

40–45

47% across 85 games