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Wednesday · July 1 · 1:11 PM ✦

RANGERS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 90 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

Rangers 4
GUARDIANS 9

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 4–9 Guardians

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 36% 64% 2–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest Texas Rangers 64% 36% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 48% 52% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games