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Sunday · June 28 · 1:41 PM ✦

MARINERS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph varies

Final

Mariners 5
GUARDIANS 6

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 5–6 Guardians

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 48% 52% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 48% 52% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games