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Friday · June 12 · 7:10 pm ✦

TIGERS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 78 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Tigers 2
GUARDIANS 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 2–3 Guardians

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 53% 47% 5–4
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 47% 53%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 34% 66%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

55–29

65% across 84 games

Guardians this season

41–45

48% across 86 games