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Monday · June 8 · 6:40 pm ✦

YANKEES @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

YANKEES 7
Guardians 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 7–5 Yankees

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Guardians Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 48% 52%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 47% 53%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

44–42

51% across 86 games

Guardians this season

41–45

48% across 86 games