Sunday · May 31 · 1:42 PM ✦
RED SOX @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 70 degrees, sunny, wind 4 mph r to l
Final
RED SOX
9
Guardians
4
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 9–4 Red Sox
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
52–33
61% across 85 games
Guardians this season
41–46
47% across 87 games