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Saturday · May 30 ✦

RED SOX @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

RED SOX 9
Guardians 1

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 9–1 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 62% 38% 3–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 39% 61%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 49% 51%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 48% 52% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–33

61% across 85 games

Guardians this season

41–46

47% across 87 games