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Friday · May 29 ✦

RED SOX @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

Red Sox 3
GUARDIANS 4

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–4 Guardians

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 65% 35% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 48% 52%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 46% 54%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 49% 51% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–33

61% across 85 games

Guardians this season

41–46

47% across 87 games