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Tuesday · May 26 ✦

NATIONALS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

NATIONALS 6
Guardians 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 6–3 Nationals

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 42% 58%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 51% 49%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 43% 57% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

46–41

53% across 87 games

Guardians this season

41–46

47% across 87 games